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Fire SlimesTier 1

at RDO Store Championship

decks
2 (11.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8 5-3-0
overall winrate
62.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.4% avg ELO -1.7 per match
expected value
55.2% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.4% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1322 · median 1322 · range 1291–1352 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1052 Q1 1183 Q3 1311 1449
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Chess 11.8% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 59.4% +9.1
Fire Aggro 5.9% 0
Fire Arcane 5.9% 0
Fire Crux Mage 5.9% 0
Fire Crux Merlin 5.9% 0
Fire Tera Diao Chan 5.9% 0
Slimes 5.9% 0
Water Astra Ranger 5.9% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 52.5% +4.0
Water Luxem Assassin 5.9% 0
Water Slimes 5.9% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 61.0% +17.6
Water Umbra Ciel 5.9% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 52.7% +4.3
Wind Exia 5.9% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 30.2% -19.0
Wind Razorgale 5.9% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 37.6% -19.8
Wind Shadowstrike 5.9% 0
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Fire Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 24 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 24 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Resolute Stand -1.00 0 1 0
Reduce to Ash +1.00 1 0 0
Angel Attendant +1.00 1 0 0
Undeniable Truth +1.00 1 0 0
Blissful Calling -1.00 0 1 0
Liminal Guide +1.00 1 0 0
Expel the Departed -1.00 0 1 0
Slime King +1.00 1 0 0
Blanche, Sheltering Saint -1.00 0 1 0
Ghastly Slime -1.00 0 1 0
Gentle Respite +1.00 1 0 0
Lustrous Slime -1.00 0 1 0
Inferno Slime -1.00 0 1 0
Cremation Ritual +1.00 1 0 0
Gaia's Songbird +1.00 1 0 0
Infernal Vessel +1.00 1 0 0
Tera Sight -1.00 0 1 0
Crystallized Destiny +1.00 1 0 0
Red Slime +1.00 1 0 0
Verdant Scepter +1.00 1 0 0
Tariff Ring -1.00 0 1 0
Disenchant -1.00 0 1 0
Regal Inquisition -1.00 0 1 0
Beastbond Ears -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/50684/archetypes/Fire Slimes